More homes are on the market in Primary market, even with rates at 7.40%
Freddie Mac put the 30-year fixed rate at 7.40% as of October 8, 2026. That is a real weight on buyers. But the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 253 homes for sale across Primary market in the three months ending August 31, 2026, up 17.7% from a year ago. More supply with steady rates means buyers have more to compare. Sellers need to price carefully and show well.
Pending sales across Primary market rose 2.5%, according to the Real Estate Data Aggregator. That tells us buyers are still moving. They are just moving more carefully, because they have more choices and rates are high. Realtor.com noted active listings nationally are up 6.7% from a year ago. Our local gain of 17.7% is well above that pace.
What the rate means for you
Freddie Mac reported the 30-year fixed rate averaged 7.40% as of October 8, 2026. The 15-year fixed averaged 6.73% that same week. Those numbers matter because they set the monthly payment a buyer is working with. The Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. house prices rose 0.3% from the prior month in July, seasonally adjusted. Prices are not falling fast, even with rates this high.
The National Association of Realtors put the national months' supply at 4.9 months, the highest level in over ten years. Primary market is tighter. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 2.7 months of supply in ZIP 94568 and 2.2 months in ZIP 94566. That is still a seller's range, even as inventory grows.
How each ZIP code is doing
| 94568 | 94566 | 94588 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median sale price | $1,269,500 | $1,689,000 | $1,475,000 |
| Price change vs. year ago | down 1.6% | down 1.2% | down 3.8% |
| Homes sold | 168 | 84 | 55 |
| Median days on market | 30 | 29 | 33 |
| Months of supply | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Sale to list price | 98.9% | 99.2% | 98.9% |
ZIP 94568: more homes, more buyers
The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 168 homes sold in ZIP 94568 in the three months ending August 31, 2026. That is up 17.5% from a year ago. Homes for sale jumped 48.5% in the same period. Prices dipped a little, down 1.6% to a median of $1,269,500. Homes still sold in a median of 30 days, five days faster than a year ago. Nearly 3 in 10 homes, 29.2%, sold above list price.
ZIP 94566: fewer homes listed, but strong sale prices
ZIP 94566 tells a different story. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 84 homes sold there, down 28.8% from a year ago. New listings fell 7.3% to 101. Fewer homes came to market, and fewer sold. But homes for sale also dropped 16.4%, so the field stayed competitive. The median sale price was $1,689,000, down just 1.2%. Homes sold at 99.2% of list price, up 1 point from a year ago. One in three homes, 33.3%, sold above list price, up 7.9 points.
ZIP 94588: the one that slowed the most
ZIP 94588 had the softest numbers. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 55 homes sold, down 9.8%. The median sale price was $1,475,000, down 3.8%, the largest price dip of the three ZIPs. Homes took a median of 33 days to sell, 13 days longer than a year ago. Not every home sold fast here. That said, the sale to list ratio held at 98.9%, and months of supply stayed low at 2.3 months.
Above list price: who is still winning bidding situations
ZIP 94566 had 33.3% of homes sell above list price, up 7.9 points from a year ago, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. ZIP 94568 was at 29.2%, down 4.4 points. ZIP 94588 came in at 21.8%, down 2.8 points. More inventory gives buyers room to breathe. That is showing up in these numbers.
Speed: how fast homes went under contract
The Real Estate Data Aggregator found that 28.4% of homes in ZIP 94566 went under contract within two weeks of listing, down 4.6 points from a year ago. In ZIP 94568, 22.7% did, down 9.3 points. In ZIP 94588, 22% did, down 12.4 points. Buyers are taking a little more time. Realtor.com noted homes nationally are spending just 1 fewer day on market than a year ago. Our market mirrors that measured pace.
- Primary market has more homes for sale, up 17.7% from a year ago per the Real Estate Data Aggregator, even as Freddie Mac's 30-year rate sits at 7.40%.
- Prices dipped a little in all three ZIPs.
- Homes are still selling close to list price, and supply stays well below the national 4.9 months the National Association of Realtors reported.
- One street can read very differently from the whole ZIP code.
- The numbers above are a starting point, not the full picture for your home.
Your next step
(510) 760-0970Text me your address and I will send back how your Primary market home compares with what actually sold near you in the three months ending August 31, 2026, including days on market and sale to list price. Takes a day, costs nothing.
Text me- Real Estate Data Aggregator numbers for ZIPs 94568, 94566 and 94588, the three months ending August 31, 2026, compared with the same months of 2025. Real Estate Data Aggregator last updated them on Oct 7, 2026.
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates, read Oct 10, 2026
- National Association of Realtors: Existing-Home Sales, read Oct 10, 2026
- Redfin: One in Five Home Sellers Cut Prices as Buyer’s Market Persists, Sep 30, 2026
- Realtor.com: Weekly Housing Trends: U.S. Market Update (Week Ending Oct. 3, 2026), Oct 8, 2026
- CNBC: High mortgage rates are trapping homeowners in place, and making renovations harder to afford, Oct 3, 2026
- Federal Housing Finance Agency: FHFA House Price Index® Up 0.3 Percent in July; Up 2.6 Percent from Last Year | FHFA, Sep 29, 2026
