Published October 11, 2026 in Market Update

More homes are on the market in Primary market, even with rates at 7.40%

By Kim Deol - The Deol Team
Real estate, Primary market

Freddie Mac put the 30-year fixed rate at 7.40% as of October 8, 2026. That is a real weight on buyers. But the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 253 homes for sale across Primary market in the three months ending August 31, 2026, up 17.7% from a year ago. More supply with steady rates means buyers have more to compare. Sellers need to price carefully and show well.

Homes for sale across Primary market, three months ending August 31, 2026
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026
Primary market at a glance, three months ending August 31, 2026
Homes for sale
Up 17.7% from a year ago
Homes sold
Down 4.7% from a year ago
New listings
Up 1.6% from a year ago
Pending sales
Up 2.5% from a year ago
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Pending sales across Primary market rose 2.5%, according to the Real Estate Data Aggregator. That tells us buyers are still moving. They are just moving more carefully, because they have more choices and rates are high. Realtor.com noted active listings nationally are up 6.7% from a year ago. Our local gain of 17.7% is well above that pace.

What the rate means for you

Freddie Mac reported the 30-year fixed rate averaged 7.40% as of October 8, 2026. The 15-year fixed averaged 6.73% that same week. Those numbers matter because they set the monthly payment a buyer is working with. The Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. house prices rose 0.3% from the prior month in July, seasonally adjusted. Prices are not falling fast, even with rates this high.

30-year fixed rate, Freddie Mac, October 8, 2026
Source: Freddie Mac, read Oct 10, 2026

The National Association of Realtors put the national months' supply at 4.9 months, the highest level in over ten years. Primary market is tighter. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 2.7 months of supply in ZIP 94568 and 2.2 months in ZIP 94566. That is still a seller's range, even as inventory grows.

How each ZIP code is doing

ZIP by ZIP, three months ending August 31, 2026
945689456694588
Median sale price$1,269,500$1,689,000$1,475,000
Price change vs. year agodown 1.6%down 1.2%down 3.8%
Homes sold1688455
Median days on market302933
Months of supply2.72.22.3
Sale to list price98.9%99.2%98.9%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026.

ZIP 94568: more homes, more buyers

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 168 homes sold in ZIP 94568 in the three months ending August 31, 2026. That is up 17.5% from a year ago. Homes for sale jumped 48.5% in the same period. Prices dipped a little, down 1.6% to a median of $1,269,500. Homes still sold in a median of 30 days, five days faster than a year ago. Nearly 3 in 10 homes, 29.2%, sold above list price.

ZIP 94568 snapshot, three months ending August 31, 2026
Median sale price
Down 1.6% from a year ago
Median days on market
5 days faster than a year ago
Months of supply
Up 0.5 months from a year ago
Sale to list price
Down 0.7 points from a year ago
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

ZIP 94566: fewer homes listed, but strong sale prices

ZIP 94566 tells a different story. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 84 homes sold there, down 28.8% from a year ago. New listings fell 7.3% to 101. Fewer homes came to market, and fewer sold. But homes for sale also dropped 16.4%, so the field stayed competitive. The median sale price was $1,689,000, down just 1.2%. Homes sold at 99.2% of list price, up 1 point from a year ago. One in three homes, 33.3%, sold above list price, up 7.9 points.

ZIP 94566 snapshot, three months ending August 31, 2026
Median sale price
Down 1.2% from a year ago
Median days on market
1 day faster than a year ago
Months of supply
Up 0.3 months from a year ago
Sale to list price
Up 1 point from a year ago
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

ZIP 94588: the one that slowed the most

ZIP 94588 had the softest numbers. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 55 homes sold, down 9.8%. The median sale price was $1,475,000, down 3.8%, the largest price dip of the three ZIPs. Homes took a median of 33 days to sell, 13 days longer than a year ago. Not every home sold fast here. That said, the sale to list ratio held at 98.9%, and months of supply stayed low at 2.3 months.

ZIP 94588 snapshot, three months ending August 31, 2026
Median sale price
Down 3.8% from a year ago
Median days on market
13 days longer than a year ago
Months of supply
Up 0.2 months from a year ago
Sale to list price
Up 0.4 points from a year ago
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Above list price: who is still winning bidding situations

Share of homes that sold above list price by ZIP, three months ending August 31, 2026
9456633.3%9456829.2%9458821.8%
Real Estate Data Aggregator. ZIP 94566 led, even with fewer sales overall.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

ZIP 94566 had 33.3% of homes sell above list price, up 7.9 points from a year ago, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. ZIP 94568 was at 29.2%, down 4.4 points. ZIP 94588 came in at 21.8%, down 2.8 points. More inventory gives buyers room to breathe. That is showing up in these numbers.

Speed: how fast homes went under contract

Share of homes under contract within two weeks of listing, three months ending August 31, 2026
9456628.4%9456822.7%9458822%
Real Estate Data Aggregator. All three ZIPs saw this share fall from a year ago.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

The Real Estate Data Aggregator found that 28.4% of homes in ZIP 94566 went under contract within two weeks of listing, down 4.6 points from a year ago. In ZIP 94568, 22.7% did, down 9.3 points. In ZIP 94588, 22% did, down 12.4 points. Buyers are taking a little more time. Realtor.com noted homes nationally are spending just 1 fewer day on market than a year ago. Our market mirrors that measured pace.

In short
  1. Primary market has more homes for sale, up 17.7% from a year ago per the Real Estate Data Aggregator, even as Freddie Mac's 30-year rate sits at 7.40%.
  2. Prices dipped a little in all three ZIPs.
  3. Homes are still selling close to list price, and supply stays well below the national 4.9 months the National Association of Realtors reported.
  4. One street can read very differently from the whole ZIP code.
  5. The numbers above are a starting point, not the full picture for your home.

Your next step

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Text me your address and I will send back how your Primary market home compares with what actually sold near you in the three months ending August 31, 2026, including days on market and sale to list price. Takes a day, costs nothing.

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Where these numbers came from
Kim Deol - The Deol Team
Intero Real Estate Services · (510) 760-0970
Privacy policyTerms of useDo not sell or share my informationAccessibility statementFair housing notice
Kim Deol - The Deol Team is a licensed real estate agent with Intero Real Estate Services. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
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